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Red314
571539.6
1690115.6
333996.4
Blue102
599031.2
555455.4
706737.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3041150200400500600314102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.60.8
114.9115.6
Auto27.6
Teleop65.7
End22.3
red by 60.2
5554
#12
55.40.6
56.055.4
Auto19.1
Teleop15.5
End20.8
Second
96.40.8
95.696.4
Auto28.4
Teleop41.5
End26.5
red by 58.8
37.50.6
38.137.5
Auto9.9
Teleop7.3
End20.4
Third
5715
#16
39.60.8
38.839.6
Auto13.8
Teleop10.4
End15.4
red by 8.4
5990
#22
31.20.6
31.831.2
Auto11.6
Teleop9.9
End9.7