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Red165
561434.8
157439.8
223139.5
Blue129
321135.3
711233.3
784523.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12696050150200250300350400165129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.80.8
38.239.0
Auto12.7
Teleop11.3
End15.7
red by 4.4
3211
#17
35.30.8
34.535.3
Auto11.8
Teleop7.9
End15.6
Second
2231
#26
39.50.8
38.038.8
Auto11.1
Teleop12.9
End15.5
red by 6.2
33.30.8
32.533.3
Auto9.0
Teleop7.0
End17.3
Third
34.80.8
33.234.1
Auto14.0
Teleop4.9
End15.9
red by 11.4
7845
#25
23.30.8
22.523.3
Auto10.6
Teleop6.1
End6.7