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Red134
209665.1
458657.3
383529.5
Blue152
599031.2
555455.4
706737.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1771340100200300400134152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.10.4
65.565.1
Auto17.6
Teleop18.6
End29.0
red by 9.7
5554
#12
55.40.5
55.756.2
Auto19.1
Teleop15.5
End20.8
Second
57.30.4
57.757.3
Auto13.1
Teleop21.4
End22.8
red by 19.8
37.50.5
37.838.4
Auto9.9
Teleop7.3
End20.4
Third
3835
#18
29.50.4
30.029.5
Auto8.9
Teleop10.1
End10.6
blue by 1.7
5990
#22
31.20.5
31.532.1
Auto11.6
Teleop9.9
End9.7