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Red150
209665.1
458657.3
383529.5
Blue128
307538.3
822341.8
565438.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1741210200300400500150128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.10.0
64.464.4
Auto17.6
Teleop18.6
End29.0
red by 23.3
8223
#11
41.80.3
40.640.9
Auto11.8
Teleop7.6
End22.5
Second
57.30.0
56.656.6
Auto13.1
Teleop21.4
End22.8
red by 18.9
5654
#23
38.40.3
37.137.4
Auto10.3
Teleop8.9
End19.2
Third
3835
#18
29.50.0
28.828.8
Auto8.9
Teleop10.1
End10.6
blue by 8.8
3075
#14
38.30.3
37.037.3
Auto12.7
Teleop14.0
End11.7