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Red67
784515.4
157432.6
999919.5
Blue122
209642.5
561430.6
999919.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8112805010015020025067122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1574
Unranked
32.60.7
31.330.6
Auto8.2
Teleop6.2
End18.2
blue by 9.9
2096
Unranked
42.50.1
47.347.2
Auto13.7
Teleop13.0
End15.8
Second
9999
Unranked
19.50.2
24.924.7
Auto0.7
Teleop20.0
End-1.1
blue by 11.1
5614
Unranked
30.60.1
36.936.7
Auto11.6
Teleop2.3
End16.7
Third
7845
Unranked
15.40.7
21.921.2
Auto10.1
Teleop3.4
End1.9
blue by 4.1
9999
Unranked
19.50.2
24.924.7
Auto0.7
Teleop20.0
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
1%Shield Energized oddsMissed1%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
4%Shield Operational oddsMissed10%Shield Operational oddsMissed