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Red55
822321.0
784515.4
999919.5
Blue182
157432.6
169083.9
999919.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59171010015020025030055182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8223
Unranked
21.01.0
20.619.6
Auto11.2
Teleop-1.7
End11.4
blue by 62.9
1690
Unranked
83.92.8
84.287.0
Auto20.9
Teleop44.7
End18.3
Second
9999
Unranked
19.53.2
24.727.8
Auto0.7
Teleop20.0
End-1.1
blue by 13.0
1574
Unranked
32.62.8
30.633.4
Auto8.2
Teleop6.2
End18.2
Third
7845
Unranked
15.41.0
21.220.2
Auto10.1
Teleop3.4
End1.9
blue by 4.1
9999
Unranked
19.53.2
24.727.8
Auto0.7
Teleop20.0
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
1%Shield Energized oddsMissed1%Shield Energized oddsEarned
Shield Operational
5%Shield Operational oddsMissed8%Shield Operational oddsMissed