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Red49
565419.8
307538.5
999615.3
Blue58
598722.8
571523.4
999514.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92750501502004958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3075
Unranked
38.50.7
40.339.6
Auto14.2
Teleop19.5
End4.7
red by 15.1
5715
Unranked
23.40.2
25.625.4
Auto6.4
Teleop9.2
End7.7
Second
5654
Unranked
19.80.7
21.620.9
Auto14.0
Teleop1.7
End4.0
blue by 3.0
5987
Unranked
22.80.2
25.124.9
Auto8.7
Teleop4.3
End9.9
Third
9996
Unranked
15.31.8
15.317.1
Auto5.1
Teleop3.2
End6.9
red by 0.8
9995
Unranked
14.43.4
14.417.8
Auto4.9
Teleop3.2
End6.2