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Red122
306524.5
263035.5
999819.5
Blue119
157743.6
157435.6
999717.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74108050150200250122119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2630
Unranked
35.51.1
32.533.7
Auto11.0
Teleop12.8
End11.7
blue by 8.1
1577
Unranked
43.60.6
42.543.1
Auto12.6
Teleop22.3
End8.7
Second
3065
Unranked
24.51.1
21.522.7
Auto13.1
Teleop6.2
End5.2
blue by 11.1
1574
Unranked
35.60.6
34.535.1
Auto8.9
Teleop14.6
End12.0
Third
9998
Unranked
19.51.1
16.517.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop16.2
End3.8
red by 2.0
9997
Unranked
17.41.0
15.616.6
Auto5.0
Teleop7.3
End5.1