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Red158
169081.5
565419.8
999912.7
Blue139
157435.6
157743.6
999819.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13984050100200250158139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1690
Unranked
81.52.5
84.787.2
Auto22.2
Teleop38.2
End21.1
red by 37.8
1577
Unranked
43.60.8
42.243.0
Auto12.6
Teleop22.3
End8.7
Second
5654
Unranked
19.82.5
21.023.5
Auto14.0
Teleop1.7
End4.0
blue by 15.8
1574
Unranked
35.60.8
31.232.0
Auto8.9
Teleop14.6
End12.0
Third
9999
UnrankedDQ
12.72.5
12.314.8
Auto-2.3
Teleop16.3
End-1.3
blue by 6.8
9998
UnrankedDQ
19.51.3
8.59.8
Auto-0.6
Teleop16.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
3%Shield Energized oddsMissed1%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
8%Shield Operational oddsMissed8%Shield Operational oddsMissed