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Red63
307538.5
513524.4
999912.7
Blue118
306524.5
157743.6
999819.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions748205010015020063118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3075
Unranked
38.50.3
34.734.4
Auto14.2
Teleop19.5
End4.7
blue by 5.2
1577
Unranked
43.61.0
43.044.0
Auto12.6
Teleop22.3
End8.7
Second
5135
Unranked
24.40.3
18.117.8
Auto7.6
Teleop5.5
End11.3
blue by 0.1
3065
Unranked
24.51.0
20.121.1
Auto13.1
Teleop6.2
End5.2
Third
9999
UnrankedDQ
12.70.3
14.814.5
Auto-2.3
Teleop16.3
End-1.3
blue by 6.8
9998
UnrankedDQ
19.51.6
9.811.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop16.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
1%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
3%Shield Operational oddsMissed9%Shield Operational oddsMissed