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Red138
61440.5
291235.2
111132.1
Blue76
409937.7
284931.7
68626.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12310405015020025030013876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
Unranked
40.50.0
40.540.5
Auto15.4
Teleop2.1
End23.0
red by 2.9
4099
Unranked
37.70.0
37.737.7
Auto13.0
Teleop7.7
End17.0
Second
2912
Unranked
35.20.0
35.235.2
Auto10.8
Teleop9.1
End15.3
red by 3.5
2849
Unranked
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto6.2
Teleop2.8
End22.7
Third
1111
Unranked
32.10.0
32.132.1
Auto10.7
Teleop6.3
End15.1
red by 5.7
686
Unranked
26.40.0
26.426.4
Auto6.2
Teleop5.3
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized odds0%Shield Energized odds
Shield Operational
19%Shield Operational odds32%Shield Operational odds