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Red154
54835.2
233768.3
3343.3
Blue156
102351.3
30233.3
364148.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169145050100200250300350400154156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
Unranked
68.30.2
69.168.8
Auto22.9
Teleop18.8
End26.6
red by 17.0
1023
Unranked
51.30.4
51.251.6
Auto15.4
Teleop19.0
End16.9
Second
33
Unranked
43.30.2
43.543.3
Auto11.9
Teleop13.1
End18.2
blue by 5.4
3641
Unranked
48.70.4
48.649.0
Auto18.0
Teleop12.5
End18.2
Third
548
Unranked
35.20.2
36.035.8
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End18.2
red by 1.9
302
Unranked
33.30.4
33.233.7
Auto11.2
Teleop10.2
End11.9