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Red179
24527.1
22652.5
283222.2
Blue77
317536.1
296030.6
6810.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11382020030040017977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
Unranked
52.51.8
51.052.7
Auto12.3
Teleop17.1
End23.1
red by 16.5
3175
Unranked
36.10.0
36.136.1
Auto9.9
Teleop10.7
End15.4
Second
245
Unranked
27.11.8
25.627.4
Auto9.1
Teleop5.2
End12.9
blue by 3.5
2960
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto15.5
Teleop7.3
End7.9
Third
2832
Unranked
22.21.8
20.722.4
Auto7.9
Teleop2.9
End11.5
red by 12.0
68
Unranked
10.20.0
10.210.2
Auto7.5
Teleop2.2
End0.6