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Red180
46911.9
233768.3
3343.3
Blue59
283424.3
584323.4
481012.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15054010020030040050018059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
Unranked
68.30.3
68.668.8
Auto22.9
Teleop18.8
End26.6
red by 43.9
2834
Unranked
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto9.8
Teleop3.2
End11.2
Second
33
Unranked
43.30.3
43.043.3
Auto11.9
Teleop13.1
End18.2
red by 19.9
5843
Unranked
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto12.4
Teleop12.2
End-1.2
Third
469
Unranked
11.90.4
11.511.9
Auto6.9
Teleop4.2
End0.8
blue by 0.1
4810
Unranked
12.00.0
12.012.0
Auto2.9
Teleop2.1
End7.0