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Red150
46911.9
233768.3
3343.3
Blue128
50338.4
413038.7
20118.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145990200300400500600150128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
Unranked
68.30.6
68.869.4
Auto22.9
Teleop18.8
End26.6
red by 29.6
4130
Unranked
38.70.8
38.539.2
Auto14.9
Teleop11.1
End12.6
Second
33
Unranked
43.30.6
43.343.9
Auto11.9
Teleop13.1
End18.2
red by 4.8
503
Unranked
38.40.8
38.239.0
Auto15.6
Teleop14.4
End8.5
Third
469
Unranked
11.91.0
11.912.9
Auto6.9
Teleop4.2
End0.8
blue by 6.1
201
Unranked
18.00.8
17.218.0
Auto9.0
Teleop0.7
End8.3