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Red118
213721.4
30233.3
364148.7
Blue81
353931.6
759820.8
543637.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1149805015020025030011881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
Unranked
48.70.4
47.347.7
Auto18.0
Teleop12.5
End18.2
red by 10.8
5436
Unranked
37.90.2
37.437.2
Auto9.1
Teleop6.2
End22.6
Second
302
Unranked
33.30.4
31.932.3
Auto11.2
Teleop10.2
End11.9
red by 1.7
3539
Unranked
31.60.2
31.231.0
Auto7.5
Teleop9.7
End14.5
Third
2137
Unranked
21.40.7
20.721.4
Auto9.2
Teleop7.1
End5.0
red by 0.5
7598
Unranked
20.80.2
21.020.8
Auto7.5
Teleop1.7
End11.7