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Red109
102351.3
30233.3
364148.7
Blue90
24527.1
22652.5
283222.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157108020030040050010990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
Unranked
51.30.6
51.851.2
Auto15.4
Teleop19.0
End16.9
blue by 1.2
226
Unranked
52.50.3
52.852.5
Auto12.3
Teleop17.1
End23.1
Second
3641
Unranked
48.70.6
49.248.6
Auto18.0
Teleop12.5
End18.2
red by 21.6
245
Unranked
27.10.3
27.427.1
Auto9.1
Teleop5.2
End12.9
Third
302
Unranked
33.30.6
33.933.2
Auto11.2
Teleop10.2
End11.9
red by 11.1
2832
Unranked
22.20.3
22.522.2
Auto7.9
Teleop2.9
End11.5