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Red233
168465.6
353657.3
317536.0
Blue122
546055.9
353446.8
353943.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175164100150200250300233122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.61.1
64.565.6
Auto17.6
Teleop34.8
End13.2
red by 9.7
55.90.8
56.755.9
Auto22.6
Teleop17.3
End16.1
Second
57.31.1
56.257.3
Auto18.4
Teleop13.1
End25.8
red by 10.5
46.80.6
47.546.8
Auto12.7
Teleop12.9
End21.3
Third
3175
#15
36.01.1
34.936.0
Auto9.6
Teleop7.3
End19.0
blue by 7.2
3539
#14
43.20.6
43.943.2
Auto9.6
Teleop14.5
End19.0