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Red165
546055.9
353446.8
353943.2
Blue172
81840.0
22657.3
686135.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16014450100200250300165172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.90.2
54.254.3
Auto22.6
Teleop17.3
End16.1
blue by 1.4
226
#4
57.30.9
56.757.6
Auto12.6
Teleop20.8
End24.0
Second
46.80.1
45.445.5
Auto12.7
Teleop12.9
End21.3
red by 6.8
818
#7
40.01.1
39.340.4
Auto9.5
Teleop8.4
End22.1
Third
3539
#14
43.20.1
41.841.9
Auto9.6
Teleop14.5
End19.0
red by 7.6
35.71.1
34.936.0
Auto6.7
Teleop10.8
End18.2