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Red188
546055.9
353446.8
353943.2
Blue135
81840.0
22657.3
686135.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16014850100200250188135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.91.3
54.355.6
Auto22.6
Teleop17.3
End16.1
blue by 1.4
226
#4
57.30.3
57.657.3
Auto12.6
Teleop20.8
End24.0
Second
46.81.0
45.546.5
Auto12.7
Teleop12.9
End21.3
red by 6.8
818
#7
40.00.4
40.440.0
Auto9.5
Teleop8.4
End22.1
Third
3539
#14
43.21.0
41.943.0
Auto9.6
Teleop14.5
End19.0
red by 7.6
35.70.4
36.035.7
Auto6.7
Teleop10.8
End18.2