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Red71
192334.6
589550.1
7530.0
Blue80
457518.8
540133.1
811718.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137690501002002503003507180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5895
Unranked
50.10.0
50.150.1
Auto13.4
Teleop21.4
End15.2
red by 17.0
5401
Unranked
33.10.0
33.133.1
Auto11.2
Teleop8.2
End13.8
Second
1923
Unranked
34.60.0
34.634.6
Auto11.6
Teleop8.5
End14.4
red by 15.7
4575
Unranked
18.80.0
18.818.8
Auto5.5
Teleop3.0
End10.4
Third
75
Unranked
30.00.0
30.030.0
Auto10.1
Teleop7.4
End12.5
red by 11.8
8117
Unranked
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto6.1
Teleop4.5
End7.6