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Red137
260751.6
259040.2
162628.9
Blue67
4129.2
219123.9
125729.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1428505020025030035013767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2607
Unranked
51.60.0
51.651.6
Auto17.2
Teleop15.5
End18.9
red by 21.9
1257
Unranked
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto10.0
Teleop7.3
End12.4
Second
2590
Unranked
40.20.0
40.240.2
Auto12.3
Teleop5.0
End22.9
red by 11.0
41
Unranked
29.20.0
29.229.2
Auto9.8
Teleop7.2
End12.1
Third
1626
Unranked
28.90.0
28.928.9
Auto9.8
Teleop7.2
End12.0
red by 5.0
2191
Unranked
23.90.0
23.923.9
Auto8.1
Teleop5.9
End9.9