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Red184
108938.5
22235.2
218023.7
Blue39
127927.5
10229.6
255912.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1147205015020025030018439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
Unranked
38.50.0
38.538.5
Auto10.8
Teleop14.8
End12.9
red by 8.9
102
Unranked
29.60.0
29.629.6
Auto10.0
Teleop7.3
End12.3
Second
222
Unranked
35.20.0
35.235.2
Auto11.9
Teleop8.7
End14.6
red by 7.7
1279
Unranked
27.50.0
27.527.5
Auto9.3
Teleop6.8
End11.4
Third
2180
Unranked
23.70.0
23.723.7
Auto8.4
Teleop5.4
End9.9
red by 11.2
2559
Unranked
12.50.0
12.512.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End2.6