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Red204
87651.9
591352.9
462332.7
Blue122
327719.1
329438.6
327519.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16071050100200250300350400204122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.91.6
51.352.9
Auto15.7
Teleop14.7
End22.5
red by 14.3
38.61.1
37.538.6
Auto7.9
Teleop8.4
End22.3
Second
876
#5
51.91.6
50.351.9
Auto13.7
Teleop16.1
End22.2
red by 32.2
3275
#11
19.71.1
18.719.7
Auto9.4
Teleop3.2
End7.1
Third
4623
#13
32.71.6
31.232.7
Auto11.7
Teleop8.2
End12.8
red by 13.6
19.11.1
18.019.1
Auto5.1
Teleop8.2
End5.9