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Final 12021 NMRC Championship
Red197
87651.9
591352.9
462332.7
Blue137
327719.1
329438.6
327519.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155660100200250300350197137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5913
#1
52.91.5
49.8→51.3
Auto15.7
Teleop14.7
End22.5
red by 14.3
3294
#3
38.61.5
36.0→37.5
Auto7.9
Teleop8.4
End22.3
Second
876
#5
51.91.5
48.8→50.3
Auto13.7
Teleop16.1
End22.2
red by 32.2
3275
#11
19.71.5
17.2→18.7
Auto9.4
Teleop3.2
End7.1
Third
4623
#13
32.71.5
29.6→31.2
Auto11.7
Teleop8.2
End12.8
red by 13.6
3277
#6
19.11.5
16.6→18.0
Auto5.1
Teleop8.2
End5.9