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Semifinal 2-12021 NMRC Championship
Red90
331322.9
453948.8
448019.7
Blue102
327719.1
329438.6
327519.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1086705015020025090102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4539
#2
48.80.4
48.9→48.5
Auto11.8
Teleop12.1
End24.8
red by 10.2
3294
#3
38.60.4
34.5→34.8
Auto7.9
Teleop8.4
End22.3
Second
3313
#7
22.90.4
23.0→22.6
Auto4.5
Teleop4.3
End14.0
red by 3.2
3275
#11
19.70.4
15.6→15.9
Auto9.4
Teleop3.2
End7.1
Third
4480
#16
19.70.4
19.8→19.4
Auto2.8
Teleop1.7
End15.1
red by 0.5
3277
#6
19.10.4
15.0→15.3
Auto5.1
Teleop8.2
End5.9