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Red118
460736.6
453952.7
331319.4
Blue158
313424.8
591361.4
525330.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12212802004006008001,000118158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.70.2
53.253.4
Auto13.4
Teleop12.6
End26.8
blue by 8.6
61.41.0
60.361.3
Auto19.5
Teleop15.5
End26.3
Second
36.60.2
37.137.3
Auto11.1
Teleop9.5
End16.0
red by 5.8
30.81.0
29.730.7
Auto7.1
Teleop5.5
End18.2
Third
3313
#14
19.40.2
19.920.1
Auto5.5
Teleop4.7
End9.2
blue by 5.4
3134
#12
24.81.0
23.724.7
Auto10.2
Teleop2.7
End12.0