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Red96
460736.6
453952.7
331319.4
Blue137
313424.8
591361.4
525330.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122131010020030040096137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.70.7
53.452.7
Auto13.4
Teleop12.6
End26.8
blue by 8.6
61.40.1
61.361.4
Auto19.5
Teleop15.5
End26.3
Second
36.60.7
37.336.6
Auto11.1
Teleop9.5
End16.0
red by 5.8
30.80.1
30.730.8
Auto7.1
Teleop5.5
End18.2
Third
3313
#14
19.40.7
20.119.4
Auto5.5
Teleop4.7
End9.2
blue by 5.4
3134
#12
24.80.1
24.724.8
Auto10.2
Teleop2.7
End12.0