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Red139
125953.4
800253.9
642144.5
Blue99
993023.8
851840.2
173230.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18388030040050013999

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.90.4
54.253.8
Auto14.4
Teleop20.6
End18.9
red by 13.7
40.20.1
39.039.1
Auto12.9
Teleop7.9
End19.4
Second
1259
#12
53.40.4
53.753.3
Auto21.6
Teleop17.0
End14.8
red by 23.4
1732
#14
30.00.1
28.929.0
Auto9.2
Teleop5.8
End15.0
Third
6421
#10
44.50.4
44.844.4
Auto16.9
Teleop6.2
End21.3
red by 20.7
23.80.1
22.722.8
Auto7.4
Teleop5.6
End10.8