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Red144
993023.8
851840.2
173230.0
Blue124
206227.8
283036.0
220238.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions941170200300400500600700800144124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.21.4
37.539.0
Auto12.9
Teleop7.9
End19.4
red by 1.6
38.60.2
38.438.6
Auto15.5
Teleop8.8
End14.2
Second
1732
#14
30.01.3
27.628.9
Auto9.2
Teleop5.8
End15.0
blue by 6.0
36.00.2
35.936.0
Auto14.8
Teleop5.5
End15.8
Third
23.81.3
21.422.7
Auto7.4
Teleop5.6
End10.8
blue by 4.0
27.80.2
27.627.8
Auto9.0
Teleop4.0
End14.8