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Red157
993023.8
851840.2
173230.0
Blue93
206227.8
283036.0
220238.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87119020030040050015793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.21.8
35.837.5
Auto12.9
Teleop7.9
End19.4
red by 1.6
38.60.3
38.738.4
Auto15.5
Teleop8.8
End14.2
Second
1732
#14
30.01.6
26.027.6
Auto9.2
Teleop5.8
End15.0
blue by 6.0
36.00.3
36.235.9
Auto14.8
Teleop5.5
End15.8
Third
23.81.6
19.821.4
Auto7.4
Teleop5.6
End10.8
blue by 4.0
27.80.3
27.927.6
Auto9.0
Teleop4.0
End14.8