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Red76
12023.8
395926.6
88383.3
Blue100
36451.2
823213.7
541021.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4096020608012014016076100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3959
#15
26.63.0
20.823.8
Auto6.1
Teleop16.1
End4.4
blue by 24.5
364
#1
51.21.2
49.750.8
Auto13.6
Teleop25.7
End11.9
Second
120
#28
23.82.1
21.923.9
Auto5.7
Teleop12.7
End5.4
red by 1.9
5410
#14
21.91.2
20.421.6
Auto5.4
Teleop11.6
End4.9
Third
8838
#48
3.33.0
2.25.2
Auto0.7
Teleop2.2
End0.3
blue by 10.5
8232
#19
13.71.2
12.613.7
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsEarned82%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsMissed73%Hangar oddsEarned