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Red85
401310.0
10822.8
14427.7
Blue70
682331.3
744610.3
693619.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61632040801001208570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#6
27.71.0
26.527.5
Auto6.7
Teleop13.6
End7.4
blue by 3.7
31.30.5
30.230.7
Auto8.2
Teleop17.1
End6.0
Second
108
#12
22.81.0
22.423.4
Auto5.9
Teleop10.9
End6.0
red by 3.5
6936
#17
19.30.5
19.319.7
Auto5.4
Teleop8.9
End5.0
Third
4013
#40
10.01.0
8.910.0
Auto2.6
Teleop6.8
End0.5
blue by 0.3
7446
#38
10.30.6
9.710.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
60%Cargo oddsEarned55%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsEarned33%Hangar oddsEarned