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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71552040801001205461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.30.7
44.243.5
Auto10.4
Teleop26.4
End8.6
red by 11.1
34.20.0
30.930.9
Auto8.5
Teleop20.8
End4.9
Second
4005
#11
18.21.1
11.19.9
Auto6.2
Teleop7.6
End4.4
red by 4.9
190
#10
13.30.0
14.013.9
Auto5.0
Teleop6.9
End1.5
Third
5006
#18
10.70.8
9.18.3
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End3.2
red by 7.0
6586
#17
3.70.1
8.78.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop2.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
51%Cargo oddsMissed58%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsMissed34%Hangar oddsMissed