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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions235004060801004144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.51.3
9.811.1
Auto6.8
Teleop15.6
End8.1
blue by 6.8
37.30.0
28.528.5
Auto9.0
Teleop19.8
End8.5
Second
10.81.3
8.19.4
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End3.3
red by 3.4
6840
#13
7.40.0
8.08.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End1.2
Third
5729
#16
5.41.3
7.38.6
Auto2.1
Teleop0.9
End2.4
blue by 1.5
7910
#12
6.90.0
7.47.4
Auto3.7
Teleop0.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsEarned