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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70530204060801001209872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.32.3
46.448.7
Auto10.4
Teleop26.4
End8.6
red by 8.0
37.31.4
34.135.5
Auto9.0
Teleop19.8
End8.5
Second
12.83.9
8.612.5
Auto2.0
Teleop7.2
End3.6
red by 2.1
2973
#14
10.72.3
12.314.6
Auto5.4
Teleop1.6
End3.7
Third
6586
#17
3.73.9
8.312.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop2.6
End1.5
blue by 0.8
4764
#15
4.52.3
5.17.3
Auto3.0
Teleop-0.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
75%Cargo oddsEarned26%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsEarned43%Hangar oddsEarned