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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4668204060801001204058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4005
#11
18.22.0
19.017.0
Auto6.2
Teleop7.6
End4.4
blue by 16.0
34.20.2
33.833.5
Auto8.5
Teleop20.8
End4.9
Second
190
#10
13.31.2
14.513.3
Auto5.0
Teleop6.9
End1.5
blue by 9.7
23.10.2
20.320.1
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End8.1
Third
7483
#19
-1.82.0
12.510.5
Auto0.9
Teleop-1.7
End-1.0
blue by 8.7
7910
#12
6.90.4
7.26.9
Auto3.7
Teleop0.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsMissed72%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsMissed57%Hangar oddsMissed