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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2160040801001176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5006
#18
10.70.9
9.08.1
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End3.2
blue by 30.0
16
#1
40.81.6
35.136.7
Auto9.9
Teleop20.1
End10.8
Second
5729
#16
5.41.5
9.07.5
Auto2.1
Teleop0.9
End2.4
blue by 5.4
10.82.7
7.09.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End3.3
Third
4764
#15
4.51.5
6.65.1
Auto3.0
Teleop-0.8
End2.3
blue by 6.2
2973
#14
10.72.7
9.612.3
Auto5.4
Teleop1.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed33%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsEarned