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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43103020608012014016048130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.50.0
20.320.3
Auto6.8
Teleop15.6
End8.1
blue by 14.8
45.32.5
43.946.4
Auto10.4
Teleop26.4
End8.6
Second
4005
#11
18.20.0
19.019.0
Auto6.2
Teleop7.6
End4.4
blue by 19.1
37.32.5
31.734.1
Auto9.0
Teleop19.8
End8.5
Third
12.80.0
8.68.6
Auto2.0
Teleop7.2
End3.6
blue by 5.7
18.64.1
13.617.7
Auto4.0
Teleop2.4
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsEarned85%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
44%Hangar oddsMissed58%Hangar oddsEarned