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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63492040801006041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#1
40.80.2
34.935.1
Auto9.9
Teleop20.1
End10.8
red by 6.5
34.20.7
34.533.8
Auto8.5
Teleop20.8
End4.9
Second
190
#10
13.30.2
14.314.5
Auto5.0
Teleop6.9
End1.5
red by 2.6
10.81.2
8.27.0
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End3.3
Third
6586
#17
3.70.3
7.98.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop2.6
End1.5
blue by 3.7
6840
#13
7.41.2
5.34.1
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
49%Cargo oddsMissed64%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsEarned30%Hangar oddsMissed