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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1760040801001203376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2973
#14
10.70.8
8.89.6
Auto5.4
Teleop1.6
End3.7
blue by 26.6
37.31.7
30.031.7
Auto9.0
Teleop19.8
End8.5
Second
4764
#15
4.50.8
5.86.6
Auto3.0
Teleop-0.8
End2.3
blue by 13.7
4005
#11
18.22.8
16.119.0
Auto6.2
Teleop7.6
End4.4
Third
6586
#17
3.70.8
7.17.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop2.6
End1.5
blue by 3.2
7910
#12
6.92.8
4.47.2
Auto3.7
Teleop0.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed49%Hangar oddsEarned