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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31670204060801001206573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.53.0
17.320.3
Auto6.8
Teleop15.6
End8.1
blue by 14.8
45.30.7
43.243.9
Auto10.4
Teleop26.4
End8.6
Second
5006
#18
10.71.8
7.29.0
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End3.2
blue by 2.1
12.81.2
7.48.6
Auto2.0
Teleop7.2
End3.6
Third
7483
#19
-1.83.0
9.512.5
Auto0.9
Teleop-1.7
End-1.0
blue by 7.2
5729
#16
5.41.2
7.89.0
Auto2.1
Teleop0.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed71%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsMissed