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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69310204060801001207230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#1
40.80.9
33.934.9
Auto9.9
Teleop20.1
End10.8
red by 17.7
23.10.3
20.620.3
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End8.1
Second
18.61.4
12.313.6
Auto4.0
Teleop2.4
End12.1
red by 11.2
6840
#13
7.40.4
5.75.3
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End1.2
Third
190
#10
13.30.8
13.514.3
Auto5.0
Teleop6.9
End1.5
red by 9.6
6586
#17
3.70.4
7.67.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop2.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
39%Cargo oddsEarned21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsEarned28%Hangar oddsMissed