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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139504060801201401608113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7910
#12
6.91.7
6.14.4
Auto3.7
Teleop0.1
End3.1
blue by 30.4
37.32.2
27.730.0
Auto9.0
Teleop19.8
End8.5
Second
5729
#16
5.41.7
9.57.8
Auto2.1
Teleop0.9
End2.4
blue by 28.9
34.22.0
32.534.5
Auto8.5
Teleop20.8
End4.9
Third
4764
#15
4.51.7
7.45.8
Auto3.0
Teleop-0.8
End2.3
blue by 18.5
23.12.0
18.520.6
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed82%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed63%Hangar oddsEarned