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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions994302060801201401607046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.31.3
36.435.0
Auto9.0
Teleop19.8
End8.5
red by 6.8
30.50.6
23.522.9
Auto6.8
Teleop15.6
End8.1
Second
34.21.3
35.033.6
Auto8.5
Teleop20.8
End4.9
red by 20.9
190
#10
13.30.4
14.313.9
Auto5.0
Teleop6.9
End1.5
Third
2973
#14
10.72.1
14.612.5
Auto5.4
Teleop1.6
End3.7
Level
5006
#18
10.70.4
9.69.2
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
92%Cargo oddsEarned14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
69%Hangar oddsEarned28%Hangar oddsMissed