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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110280501001509754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.30.0
48.848.8
Auto10.4
Teleop26.4
End8.6
red by 22.3
23.11.1
19.020.2
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End8.1
Second
16
#1
40.80.0
38.638.6
Auto9.9
Teleop20.1
End10.8
red by 22.6
4005
#11
18.21.8
15.717.4
Auto6.2
Teleop7.6
End4.4
Third
4764
#15
4.50.0
5.55.5
Auto3.0
Teleop-0.8
End2.3
blue by 0.8
5729
#16
5.41.8
2.44.1
Auto2.1
Teleop0.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
92%Cargo oddsEarned27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
74%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsEarned