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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474220305060707050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.52.6
22.925.5
Auto6.8
Teleop15.6
End8.1
red by 12.3
4005
#11
18.20.6
17.418.0
Auto6.2
Teleop7.6
End4.4
Second
18.62.6
16.719.3
Auto4.0
Teleop2.4
End12.1
red by 7.8
2973
#14
10.70.6
12.513.1
Auto5.4
Teleop1.6
End3.7
Third
6840
#13
7.42.6
3.56.1
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End1.2
red by 0.5
7910
#12
6.90.6
9.810.4
Auto3.7
Teleop0.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed41%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsEarned50%Hangar oddsMissed