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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions226104080100667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.81.7
12.510.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End3.3
blue by 26.5
37.31.0
34.135.1
Auto9.0
Teleop19.8
End8.5
Second
6586
#17
3.71.9
9.27.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop2.6
End1.5
blue by 9.6
190
#10
13.31.0
13.714.7
Auto5.0
Teleop6.9
End1.5
Third
7483
#19
-1.81.9
4.02.1
Auto0.9
Teleop-1.7
End-1.0
blue by 7.2
5729
#16
5.41.4
4.15.6
Auto2.1
Teleop0.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed40%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsMissed