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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4398020608012014016059118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.60.7
19.319.9
Auto4.0
Teleop2.4
End12.1
blue by 22.2
16
#1
40.82.2
40.843.0
Auto9.9
Teleop20.1
End10.8
Second
4005
#11
18.20.7
18.018.7
Auto6.2
Teleop7.6
End4.4
blue by 16.0
34.22.2
34.036.2
Auto8.5
Teleop20.8
End4.9
Third
12.80.7
10.110.8
Auto2.0
Teleop7.2
End3.6
red by 2.1
5006
#18
10.72.2
10.312.5
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo oddsMissed88%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
48%Hangar oddsEarned74%Hangar oddsEarned