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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6222040801001208518

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.52.9
25.528.4
Auto6.8
Teleop15.6
End8.1
red by 19.8
2973
#14
10.71.1
13.112.1
Auto5.4
Teleop1.6
End3.7
Second
23.12.1
21.223.4
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End8.1
red by 17.7
5729
#16
5.41.1
5.64.5
Auto2.1
Teleop0.9
End2.4
Third
6840
#13
7.42.9
6.18.9
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End1.2
red by 3.7
6586
#17
3.71.1
7.36.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop2.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsEarned17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
57%Hangar oddsEarned22%Hangar oddsMissed